Dollar Remains Weak on Housing Starts and Building Permits Numbers

Top Day Rec

05.19

Housing starts and building permits both come in below expectations. This trims the overnight gains in the stock market. Dollar remains weaker on this.

Still working from home, sick with something I wouldn’t even want to give to a dog I was afraid of.

      

May 19	08:30	Building Permits	Apr		530K	530K	516K
May 19	08:30	Housing Starts	Apr		525k	527K	510K
May 20	10:30	Crude Inventories	05/15		NA	NA	-4.63M
May 20	14:00	FOMC Minutes	04/29		NA	NA	NA
May 21	08:30	Initial Claims	05/16		600k	NA	610K
May 21	10:00	Leading Indicators	Apr		0.5%	0.6%	-0.3%
May 21	10:00	Philadelphia Fed	May		-18.0	-18.0	NA

 

 

Current views, speculations and suggestions

 

June Yen: pos but below support of 103.03.   

June Swiss: positive with support at 89.00

June EC: positive with support at 134.48   

June Canadian: positive with support at 85.00

June BP:  pos with support at 151.70.     

June ES: neg with res at 918.75

June NQ: pos with support at 1356.50

June Russell: neg with res at 501    

June Mini Dow: neg with res at 8580

Jun Gold: positive with support at 911.0    

July Silver: pos with support at 13.61

July crude: positive with support at 57.00         

July Soybeans: positive with support at 11.23

July Wheat: positive with support at 5.69

June Ten Year: potential reversal day        

**************

International Markets

June Bund: neg with res at 121.59        

June Dax: pos with support at 4705

NK: neg with res at 9475  

***********  

N.B.: if you initiate a trade using any of these numbers use a stop at least equivalent to 2 ½%. Repeat: use stops.  Don’t think about using stops. Use stops.   

 

********************************************

    

Futures trading entails considerable risk and is not for everyone. An account can lose more than its initial investment. Stops are not necessarily filled at the stop level. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

 

Charles Kespert

**********************     

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM.

ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, AL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETIOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.