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Further concerns over possible Chinese retrenchment moving the dollar higher

Top Day Rec

01.15.10

CPI came in at .1% and the core rate came in at .1%

Michigan Consumer Sentiment later.

Last night, Intel beat the Street but the invisible hand

that draw the charts used the event to sell some stock.

Further concerns over possible Chinese retrenchment

vis a vis credit saw the dollar regain some strength.

Yesterday, the EC was able to withstand some of

Trichetís commentary about Greece but as soon as Asia

opened again the dollar legged higher.

Today is a kind of get away day with Martin Luther King

on Monday and a US market holiday.

This Week's Calendar

Date ET Release For ActualBriefing.com Consensus Prior

RevisedFrom

Jan 1208:30Trade Balance Nov -$31.0B -$34.5B -$32.9B

Jan 1310:30Crude Inventories 1/08 NA NA 1.33M

Jan 1314:00Treasury Budget Dec -$97.0B -$92.0B -$120.3B

Jan 1314:00Fed's Beige Book

Jan 1408:30Initial Claims 01/09 450K 433K 434K

Jan 1408:30ContinuingClaims1/2 4725K 4800K 4802K

Jan 1408:30Retail Sales Dec 0.6% 0.5% 1.3%

Jan 1408:30Retail Sales exautoDec 0.1% 0.3% 1.2%

Jan 1408:30Export Prices exag.Dec NA NA 0.7%

Jan 1408:30Import Prices ex- Dec NA NA 0.4%

Date ET Release For ActualBriefing.com Consensus Prior

RevisedFrom

oilJan 1410:00BusinessInventories

Nov 0.5% 0.2% 0.2%

Jan 1508:30Core CPI Dec 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Jan 1508:30CPI Dec 0.2% 0.2% 0.4%

Jan 1508:30EmpireManufacturingSurvey

Jan 5.00 11.25 2.55

Jan 1509:15CapacityUtilization

Dec 72.3% 71.8% 71.3%

Jan 1509:15IndustrialProduction

Dec 1.0% 0.6% 0.8%

Jan 1509:55Mich Sentiment Jan 74.6 73.8 72.5

Current views, speculations and suggestions

(good till close of business today). These are technical in nature

only, not fundamental.

Mar ES: pos with support at 1135.00

NQ: potential reversal day

Mini Dow: pos with support at 1058.00

Gold: potential reversal day

Mar Silver: pos with support at 18.33

Mar Copper: pos with support at 334.00 (starting to show

some signs of technical cracks in the wall)

Mar Yen: pos with support at 109.03 (bid on risk aversion)

Mar Swiss: pos with support at 97.42

Mar EC: potential trend reversal day

Mar Canadian: pos with support at 97.16

Mar BP: pos with support at 162.65

Mar Aussie: pos with support at 91.88

Feb Crude: neg with res at 80.19

Mini Nat Gas: neg with res at 5.65

Mar Soybeans: neg with res at 9.93

Mar Wheat: pos with support at 5.18

Mar Ten Year: pos with support at 116.12

Mar 30 Year: pos with support at 116.00

June Eurodollar: pos with support at 99.53

**************

International Markets

Mar Bund:

Mar Dax:

**********

N.B.: if you initiate a trade using ANY of these

numbers use a STOP at least equivalent to 2 Ĺ%.

Repeat: use Stops. Donít think about using Stops.

Use Stops. Some find it appropriate to look at the

margin requirement and use that as a Stop or if

itís a steep initial requirement, use half. But

whatever you do, stop thinking about any other

alternative and use Stops.

********************************************

Futures trading entails considerable risk and is not for

everyone. An account can lose more than its initial investment.

Stops are not necessarily filled at the stop level. Past

performance is not a guarantee of future results.

 

Charles Kespert

***********************

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE

MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH

ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS

BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS

LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR

TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE

FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE

ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY

ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM.

ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL

PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE

GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF

HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, AL TRADING DOES NOT

INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO

HYPOTHETIOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN

COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF

FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR

EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR

TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM

IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS

WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL

TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER

FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL

OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC

TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY

ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL

OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL

TRADING RESULTS.

 

*The risk of loss exists in futures and commodity investing. Past performance is not indicative of future results or performance. Only risk capital should be used when making investments in the commodity markets.

 

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