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The fed leaves rates unchanged and no change in the communique

Top Day Recommendation 3.17.10

The fed leaves rates unchanged and doesn’t change the

wording of the communiqué allaying fears of an

immanent rate hike. Markets get a relief bump on this

but the exuberance feels a bit hollow. Buy the rumor,

sell the news? OPEC leaves oil production unchanged.

Producer Prices drop but the information is a little

stale.

Week of March 15 - March 19

Date ET Release For ActualBriefing.com Consensus Prior

RevisedFrom

Mar1508:30EmpireManufacturingSurveyMar 22.0 21.45 24.91

Mar1509:00Net Long-Term TICFlowsDec $42.50B $50.0B $63.3B

Mar1509:15CapacityUtilizationFeb 72.8% 72.6% 72.6%

Mar1509:15IndustrialProductionFeb 0.2% 0.0% 0.9%

Mar1608:30BuildingPermitsFeb 610K 602K 622K

Mar1608:30Housing Starts Feb 550K 570K 591K

Mar1608:30Import Pricesex-oilFeb NA NA 0.4%

Mar1608:30Export Pricesex-ag.Feb NA NA 0.7%

Mar1614:15FOMC RateDecision

Mar160.25% 0.25% 0.25%

Mar1708:30Core PPI Feb 0.1% 0.1% 0.3%

Mar1708:30PPI Feb -0.3% -0.2% 1.4%

Mar 10:30Crude 03/13 NA NA 1.43M17 Inventories

Mar1808:30Core CPI Feb 0.0% 0.1% -0.1%

Mar1808:30CPI Feb 0.2% 0.1% 0.2%

Mar1808:30Initial Claims 03/13 460K 450K 462K

Mar1808:30ContinuingClaims03/6 4500K 4500K 4558K

Mar1808:30CurrentAccountBalanceQ4 -$117.5B -$120.0B-$108.0B

Mar1810:00LeadingIndicatorsFeb 0.0% 0.1% 0.3%

Mar1810:00PhiladelphiaFedMar 17.8 18.0 17.6

Current views, speculations and suggestions

(good till close of business today). These are technical in nature

only, not fundamental.

June Emini S&P: positive with support at 1148.00

June Emini Nasdaq: positive with support at 1919.25

June Mini Dow: positive but below daily support of 1057

April Gold: potential reversal day

May Silver: positive with support at 17.16

May Copper: negative with resistance at 342.70

June Yen: positive with support at 110.35

June Swiss: positive with support at 9433

June Euro Currency: daily resistance at 138.08

June Canadian: positive with support at 98.15

June British Pound: negative with resistance at 153.20

June Aussie: positive with support at 90.40

April Crude: positive with support at 80.00

April Mini Natural Gas: negative with resistance at 4.445

May Soybeans: positive with support at 9.343

May Wheat: really negative with resistance at 4.906

May Sugar: negative with resistance at 1946

June Ten Year Notes: positive with support at 116.29

June 30 Year Bonds: positive with support at 117.02

Sept Eurodollar: potential reversal day

**************

International Markets

June Bund: negative with resistance at

June Dax: positive with support at

**********

N.B.: if you initiate a trade using ANY of these

numbers use a STOP at least equivalent to 2 ½%.

Repeat: use Stops. Don’t think about using Stops.

Use Stops. Some find it appropriate to look at the

margin requirement and use that as a Stop or if

it’s a steep initial requirement, use half. But

whatever you do, stop thinking about any other

alternative and use Stops.

********************************************

Futures trading entails considerable risk and is not for

everyone. An account can lose more than its initial investment.

Stops are not necessarily filled at the stop level. Past

performance is not a guarantee of future results.

 

Charles Kespert

***********************

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE

MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH

ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS

BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS

LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR

TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE

FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE

ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY

ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM.

ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL

PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE

GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF

HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, AL TRADING DOES NOT

INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO

HYPOTHETIOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN

COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF

FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR

EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR

TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM

IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS

WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL

TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER

FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL

OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC

TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY

ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL

OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL

TRADING RESULTS.

 

*The risk of loss exists in futures and commodity investing. Past performance is not indicative of future results or performance. Only risk capital should be used when making investments in the commodity markets.

 

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