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The Fed keeps rates near zero indefinitely and this ramps the dollar and gold to a new high

Top Day Recommendations

9.22.10

Week of September 20 - September 24

The Fed indicates that they are willing to keep rates near zero indefinitely

and this ramps the dollar overnight and takes gold to a new high. Rates

continue to work lower and the yield on the 10 year threatens to pierce

2.5%. Portuguese 10 year yield up to 6.9%. Will the Japanese attempt

another intervention? We are above levels of the previous one.

Just crude inventories today.

If you find yourself in Pamplona and the bulls are running, itís best not to

stop, turn and admonish that ďThis too shall pass.Ē

Euro zone industrial orders disappoint.

Date ET Release For Actual Briefing.com Consensus Prior Revised

From

Sep 20 10:00 NAHB Market

Index

Sep 13 14 13

Sep 21 08:30 Housing Starts Aug 540K 550K 546K

Sep 21 08:30 Building Permits Aug 550K 560K 559K

Sep 21 14:15 FOMC Rate

Decision

9/21 0.25% 0.25% 0.25%

Sep 22 10:30 Crude Inventories 09/18 NA NA -2.49M

Sep 23 08:30 Initial Claims 09/18 440K 450K 450K

Sep 23 08:30 Continuing Claims 09/11 4450K 4450K 4485K

Sep 23 10:00 Existing Home

Sales

Aug 3.80M 4.04M 3.83M

Sep 23 10:00 Leading Indicators Aug 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Sep 24 08:30 Durable Orders Aug -2.0% -1.3% 0.4%

Sep 24 08:30 Durable Orders -ex

Transportation

Aug 0.5% 0.7% -3.7%

Date ET Release For Actual Briefing.com Consensus Prior Revised

From

Sep 24 10:00 New Home Sales Aug 270K 290K 276K

Current views, speculations and suggestions

good till close of business today). These are technical in nature

only, not fundamentally biased.

Dec Emini S&P: positive with support at 1128.75

Dec Emini Nasdaq: positive with support at 1975.00

Dec Mini Dow: positive with support at 10632

Dec Gold: positive with support at 1280.0

Dec Silver: positive with support at 20.75

Dec Copper: positive with support at 346.00

Dec Yen: positive with support at 116.96

Dec Swiss: positive with support at 99.55

Dec Euro Currency: positive with support at 131.02

Dec Canadian: positive with support at 96.75

Dec British Pound: positive with support at 155.25

Dec Aussie: positive with support at 93.68

Nov Crude: negative with resistance at 76.95

Oct Nat Gas: negative with resistance at 4.22

Dec Wheat: negative with resistance at 7.40

Nov Beans: positive with support at 10.74

Dec Corn: potential reversal day

Dec Ten Year Notes: positive with support at 124.19

Dec 30 Year Bonds: positive with support at 130.29

March Eurodollar: positive with support at 99.54

**************

N.B.: if you initiate a trade using ANY of these

numbers use a STOP at least equivalent to 2 Ĺ%.

Repeat: use Stops. Donít think about using Stops.

Use Stops. Some find it appropriate to look at the

margin requirement and use that as a Stop or if

itís a steep initial requirement, use half. But

whatever you do, stop thinking about any other

alternative and use Stops.

********************************************

Futures trading entails considerable risk and is not for

everyone. An account can lose more than its initial investment.

Stops are not necessarily filled at the stop level. Past

performance is not a guarantee of future results.

 

Charles Kespert

***********************

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE

MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH

ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS

BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS

LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR

TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE

FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE

ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY

ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM.

ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL

PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE

GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF

HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, AL TRADING DOES NOT

INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO

HYPOTHETIOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN

COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF

FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR

EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR

TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM

IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS

WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL

TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER

FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL

OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC

TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY

ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL

OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL

TRADING RESULTS.

 

 

 

 

*The risk of loss exists in futures and commodity investing. Past performance is not indicative of future results or performance. Only risk capital should be used when making investments in the commodity markets.

 

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