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Unemployment figures today with the expectation with a slow down in actual job loss

Top Day Rec

08.07.09

Unemployment Friday with the expectation of an increase in the headline number with a slow down in actual job loss. Revisions will be closely examined. Overnight, nothing of note. BP continues lower on BOE revaluation of their recession.     

Aug 03

10:00

Construction Spending

Jun

 

-0.4%

-0.5%

-0.9%

 

Aug 03

10:00

ISM Index

Jul

 

48.0

46.5

44.8

 

Aug 03

14:00

Auto Sales

Jul

 

NA

NA

3.4M

 

Aug 03

14:00

Truck Sales

Jul

 

NA

NA

3.8M

 

Aug 04

08:30

Personal Income

Jun

 

NA

-1.0%

1.4%

 

Aug 04

08:30

Personal Spending

Jun

 

NA

0.3%

0.2%

 

Aug 04

10:00

Pending Home Sales

Jun

 

NA

0.3%

0.1%

 

Aug 05

08:15

ADP Employment Change

Jul

 

NA

-340K

-473K

 

Aug 05

10:00

Factory Orders

Jun

 

NA

0.5%

1.2%

 

Aug 05

10:00

ISM Services

Jul

 

NA

48.0

48.8

 

Aug 05

10:30

Crude Inventories

07/31

 

NA

NA

+5.15M

 

Aug 06

08:30

Initial Claims

08/01

 

NA

NA

NA

 

Aug 07

08:30

Average Workweek

Jul

 

NA

33.0

33.0

 

Aug 07

08:30

Hourly Earnings

Jul

 

NA

0.1%

0.0%

 

Aug 07

08:30

Nonfarm Payrolls

Jul

 

NA

-333K

-467K

 

Aug 07

08:30

Unemployment Rate

Jul

 

NA

9.6%

9.5%

 

Aug 07

14:00

Consumer Credit

Jun

 

NA

-$4.1B

-$3.2B

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

             
                               

Current views, speculations and suggestions

(good till close of business today). These are technical in nature only.

 

Sept Yen: pos with support at 104.29

Sept Swiss: neg with res at 94.25

Sept EC: pos with support at 142.65

Sept Canadian: pos with support at 91.90

Sept BP:  pos with support at 165.80      

Sept ES: potential reversal day        

Sept NQ: potential reversal day  

Sept Mini Dow: potential reversal day

Dec Gold: potential reversal day     

Sept Silver: pos with support at 14.08

Sept Copper: pos with support at 267.00

Sept crude: pos with support at 69.30     

Nov Soybeans: pos with support 10.16

Sept Wheat:   neg with res at 5.20

Sept Ten Year:  neg with res at 116.01    

**************

International Markets

(still on vaca)

Sept Bund: 

Sept Dax:  

NKD:

***********  

N.B.: if you initiate a trade using ANY of these numbers use a STOP at least equivalent to 2 Ĺ%. Repeat: use Stops.  Donít think about using Stops. Use Stops. Some find it appropriate to look at the margin requirement and use that as a stop or if itís a steep initial requirement, use half.

********************************************

    

Futures trading entails considerable risk and is not for everyone. An account can lose more than its initial investment. Stops are not necessarily filled at the stop level. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

 

Charles Kespert

 

***********************     

 HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM.

ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, AL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETIOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.

  

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