Top Day Recommendations
Yesterday, Durable Goods orders showed strength while weekly unemployment numbers were soggy.
Consumer spending and government spending both contract; the decrease in government spending is a function of austerity (hard to grow your way to prosperity through austerity). U of M consumer sentiment at 9:55.
Last night the Celtics were down 27 points to the Magic and playing without Rondo and Allen. They could have emailed that game in but at half time, the Celtic Pride kicked in, they made a stop on defense and went on to win. That’s the actionable piece of advice for the day; NGU.
Week of January 23 - January 27
|Jan||07:00||MBA Mortgage Index||01/21||NA||NA||23.1%|
|Jan||10:00||Pending Home Sales||Dec||-3.0%||-3.0%||7.3%|
|Jan||10:00||FHFA Housing Price||Nov||NA||NA||-0.2%|
|Jan||12:30||FOMC Rate Decision||Jan||0.25%||0.25%||0.25%|
|Jan||08:30||Durable Orders -ex||Dec||1.0%||0.7%||0.3%|
|Jan||10:00||New Home Sales||Dec||310K||322K||315K|
|Jan||09:55||Michigan Sentiment -||Jan||74.5||74.2||74.0|
Numbers are good up until the close of business today. These are strictly technical in nature, not fundamentally based or biased.
U is Up
D is Down
PRD is Potential Reversal Day
S2 is Weekly strong support
S1 is Weekly good support
DS is Daily Support
DR is Daily Resistance
R1 is Weekly Good Resistance
R2 is Weekly Strong Resistance
|Levels are for the most active futures contract|
|Daily Support and Resistance|
N.B.: if you initiate a trade using ANY of these numbers use a STOP at least equivalent to 2 ½%.
Repeat: use Stops. Don’t think about using Stops.
Use Stops. Some find it appropriate to look at the margin requirement and use that as a Stop or if it’s a steep initial requirement, use half. But whatever you do, stop thinking about any other alternative and use Stops.
Futures trading entails considerable risk and is not for everyone. An account can lose more than its initial investment.
Stops are not necessarily filled at the stop level. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM.
ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, AL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETIOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR
EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.