Top Day Recommendations
January 29
19 inches yesterday. We’re running out of places to put it. Somebody up
there must really like us. Read somewhere that the polar caps are 9
degrees warmer and we are 9 degrees cooler. Of course, yesterday’s big
news, besides the latest storm, was the credit downgrade for Japan by
S&P. Of course, Japanese indebtedness equals 200% of GDP yet at the
same time interest rates are abysmally low. In other words, 1 + 1 doesn’t
always equal what it should equal. Metals continue to erode along with oil.
Euro/Aussie as a cross looks promising . Friday brings with it an advance
look at GDP and U of M consumer confidence. There could be a violent
currency reaction to GDP so be alert. Many are looking for a correction in
the EC so it probably won’t happen. UK consumer confidence falls the
most since 1992.
Week of January 24 - January 28
Date ET Release For Actual Briefing.com Consensus Prior Revised
From
Jan 25 09:00 Case-Shiller 20-city Index Nov -1.0% -1.3% -0.80%
Jan 25 10:00 Consumer Confidence Jan 53.5 53.5 52.5
Jan 25 10:00 FHFA Housing Price Index Nov NA NA 0.7%
Jan 26 07:00 MBA Mortgage Purchase Index 01/21 NA NA +5%
Jan 26 10:00 New Home Sales Dec 280K 300K 290K
Jan 26 10:30 Crude Inventories 01/22 NA NA 2.62M
Jan 26 14:15 FOMC Rate Decision Jan 0.25% 0.25% 0.25%
Jan 27 08:30 Initial Claims 01/22 400K 408K 404K
Jan 27 08:30 Continuing Claims 01/22 3800K 3835K 3861K
Jan 27 08:30 Durable Orders Dec 1.5% 1.5% -0.3% -1.3%
Jan 27 08:30 Durable Orders ex
Transportation
Dec 1.0% 0.6% 3.6% 2.4%
Jan 27 10:00 Pending Home Sales Nov -2.0% -0.5% 3.5%
Jan 28 08:30 GDP-Adv. Q4 3.4% 3.8% 2.6%
Jan 28 08:30 Chain Deflator-Adv. Q4 2.0% 1.6% 2.1%
Jan 28 08:30 Employment Cost Index Q4 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
Date ET Release For Actual Briefing.com Consensus Prior Revised
From
Jan 28 09:55 Michigan Sentiment – Final Jan 73.5 73.2 72.7
Current views, speculations and suggestions
good till close of business today. These are strictly technical in nature
only, not fundamentally based or biased.
Legend:
P is positive
N is Negative
PRD is Potential Trend Reversal Day
S2 is strong support
S1 is good support
DS is Daily Support
DR is Daily Resistance
R1 is Good resistance
R2 is Strong Resistance
S1, S2, R1, R2 change once, weekly, so DS can be below weekly support
levels and DR can be above weekly resistance levels as a week of trading
unfolds
Levels are for the most active futures contract.
DAILY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE
Trend S2 S1 DS DR R1 R2
Emini
S&P PRD 1252 1266 1291 1299.50 1294 1309
Emini NQ P 2213 2241 2313 2333 2321 2374
Yen PRD 119.33 120.21 119.98 121.77 122.10 123.11
EC P 130.94 133.42 136.50 137.73 137.30 138.70
10 year P 118.24 119.14 119.16 120.17 121.02 121.31
30 year P 117.29 119.00 119.15 120.19 121.15 122.27
Soybeans PRD 13.60 13.86 13.84 14.06 14.24 14.57
Corn P 6.11 6.34 6.44 6.59 6.73 6.90
Gold P 1310 1326 1303 1341 1368 1394
Silver N 25.61 26.55 26.59 27.64 28.96 30.43
Copper N 409 420 432.5 434.5 444 457
Mar
Crude N 86.18 87.64 84.68 87.13 91.79 94.48
Sugar P 29.23 30.78 33.12 34.89 33.13 33.93
**************
N.B.: if you initiate a trade using ANY of these
numbers use a STOP at least equivalent to 2 ½%.
Repeat: use Stops. Don’t think about using Stops.
Use Stops. Some find it appropriate to look at the
margin requirement and use that as a Stop or if
it’s a steep initial requirement, use half. But
whatever you do, stop thinking about any other
alternative and use Stops.
********************************************
Futures trading entails considerable risk and is not for
everyone. An account can lose more than its initial investment.
Stops are not necessarily filled at the stop level. Past
performance is not a guarantee of future results.
Charles Kespert
***********************
HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE
MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH
ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS
BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS
LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR
TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE
FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN
HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE
ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY
ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM.
ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL
PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE
GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF
HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, AL TRADING DOES NOT
INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO
HYPOTHETIOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN
COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF
FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR
EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR
TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM
IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS
WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL
TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER
FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL
OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC
TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY
ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF
HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL
OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL
TRADING RESULTS.