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President speaks on job creation tomorrow

Top Day Recommendations

9.07.11

 

Biggest story overnight was the turning back of a constitutional challenge to the German participation in ECB bailouts. This popped the EC momentarily and took equities with it, also momentarily. Also, risk adverse investments (read gold) flashed lower on this as well. The biggest story was the Swiss National Bank really pushing back against an export pricing squeeze for its industries (watches, chocolate, textiles, ceramics) by establishing a minimum exchange rate. On this, the Swiss Franc was down over 10 handles.

 

Beige book at 2pm, the look into the mind of the Fed, will make for interesting reading.

Oil stats delayed until tomorrow due to Monday’s holiday.

 

President’s speech on job creation tomorrow. (He could encourage favorable tax treatment for multi nationals repatriating profits if those profits were directed towards R+D and job creation but don’t bank on it).

 

Week of September 05 - September 09

 

Date

ET

Release

For

Actual

Briefing.com  Briefing.com

Prior

Revised

 

 

 

 

 

 

Forecast

Consensus

 

From

 

Sep

10:00

 ISM Services

Aug

 

52.0

51.0

52.7

 

 

06

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sep

07:00

MBA Mortgage Index

09/03

 

NA

NA

-9.6%

 

 

07

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sep

14:00

Fed's Beige Book

Sep

 

 

 

 

 

 

07

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


 

 

Date

ET

Release

For

Actual

Briefing.com  Briefing.com

Prior

Revised

 

 

 

 

 

 

Forecast

Consensus

 

From

 

Sep

08:30

 Initial Claims

09/03

 

400K

400K

409K

 

 

08

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sep

08:30

 Continuing Claims

08/27

 

3700K

3700K

3735K

 

 

08

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sep

08:30

 Trade Balance

Jul

 

-$51.0B

-$51.5B

-

 

 

08

 

$53.1B

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sep

11:00

Crude Inventories

09/03

 

NA

NA

5.281M

 

 

08

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sep

15:00

 Consumer Credit

Jul

 

$5.0B

$5.0B

$15.5B

 

 

08

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sep

10:00

Wholesale

Jul

 

0.7%

0.7%

0.6%

 

 

09

Inventories

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Numbers are good up until the close of business today. These are strictly technical in nature, not fundamentally based or biased.

Legend

P is Positive

N is Negative

PRD is Potential Reversal Day

S2 is strong support

S1 is good support

DS is Daily Support

DR is Daily Resistance

R1 is Good Resistance

R2 is Strong Resistance

Levels are for the most active futures contract

 

Daily Support and Resistance

 

Trend                                        S2                S1                DS                DR

R1                 R2

Sept Emini

N

1127

1148

1144.7

1186.50

1209

1250

 

 

 

5

 

 

 

 

S+P

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Emini Naz

P

2084

2124

2125

2221

2223

2309

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Yen

P

128.77

125.94

128.17

129.94

130.98

131.65

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

EC

N

139.32

140.50

138.78

141.80

143.31

146.78

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Dec 10

N

127.25

129.02

129.21

130.15

131.01

131.23

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Year

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Dec 30

P

133.07

136.25

139.13

141.23

142.05

143.31

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Year

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Nov

P

13.98

14.22

14.09

14.35

14.67

14.88

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Soybeans

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Dec Corn

P

7.17

7.38

7.46

7.68

7.80

8.003

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Dec Gold

P

1741

1814

1825

1910

1923

1960

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Dec Silver

N

39.22

41.26

40.45

42.30

44.41

45.53

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Dec

N

399

405

407

411

420

428

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Copper

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Oct

PRD

82.43

84.54

85.28

87.35

89.33

92.01

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Crude

(D)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

N.B.: if you initiate a trade using ANY of these numbers use a STOP at least equivalent to 2 ½%.

 

Use Stops. Some find it appropriate to look at the margin requirement and use that as a Stop or if it’s a steep initial requirement, use half. But whatever you do, stop thinking about any other alternative and use Stops.

********************************************

Futures trading entails considerable risk and is not for

everyone. An account can lose more than its initial investment.

Stops are not necessarily filled at the stop level. Past

performance is not a guarantee of future results.

 Charles Kespert

******************

 

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM.

 

ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, AL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETIOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.