10.03.2014
Top Day Market News
Which brings us to the big event risk of the week, non-farm payroll. My number is 198K versus an expected 245K based on contacting consumer confidence. As though it needs reiteration, non-farm payroll days always hold the potential for quantum change so be quick or be…
Last night, Asian stocks dropped for a sixth straight session. The continuing HK rallies are a primary force behind this. Otherwise, crude hit the $88 target mentioned a while back. The trigger was Ebola and its potential to curtail discretionary air travel, at least for a while.
|
Week |
of |
September 29 - October 03 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Date |
ET |
Release |
For |
Actual |
Briefing.com Forecast |
Briefing.com Consensus |
Prior |
Revised From |
|
Sep 29 |
08:30 |
Personal Income |
Aug |
|
0.4% |
0.3% |
0.2% |
|
|
Sep 29 |
08:30 |
Personal Spending |
Aug |
|
0.5% |
0.4% |
-0.1% |
|
|
Sep 29 |
08:30 |
PCE Prices - Core |
Aug |
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.1% |
|
|
Sep 29 |
10:00 |
Pending Home Sales |
Aug |
|
-2.0% |
-0.2% |
3.3% |
|
|
Sep 30 |
09:00 |
Case-Shiller 20-city Index |
Jul |
|
7.0% |
7.4% |
8.1% |
|
|
Sep 30 |
09:45 |
Chicago PMI |
Sep |
|
59.0 |
61.5 |
64.3 |
|
|
Sep 30 |
10:00 |
Consumer Confidence |
Sep |
|
93.0 |
92.0 |
92.4 |
|
|
Oct 01 |
07:00 |
MBA Mortgage Index |
09/27 |
|
NA |
NA |
-4.1% |
|
|
Oct 01 |
08:15 |
ADP Employment Change |
Sep |
|
225K |
202K |
204K |
|
|
Oct 01 |
10:00 |
ISM Index |
Sep |
|
60.0 |
58.5 |
59.0 |
|
|
Date |
ET |
Release |
For |
Actual |
Briefing.com Forecast |
Briefing.com Consensus |
Prior |
Revised From |
|
Oct 01 |
10:00 |
Construction Spending |
Aug |
|
0.5% |
0.4% |
1.8% |
|
|
Oct 01 |
10:30 |
Crude Inventories |
09/27 |
|
NA |
NA |
- 4.273M |
|
|
Oct 01 |
14:00 |
Auto Sales |
Sep |
|
NA |
NA |
6.2M |
|
|
Oct 01 |
14:00 |
Truck Sales |
Sep |
|
NA |
NA |
7.9M |
|
|
Oct 02 |
07:30 |
Challenger Job Cuts |
Sep |
|
NA |
NA |
-20.7% |
|
|
Oct 02 |
08:30 |
Initial Claims |
09/27 |
|
300K |
297K |
293K |
|
|
Oct 02 |
08:30 |
Continuing Claims |
09/20 |
|
2450K |
2458K |
2439K |
|
|
Oct 02 |
10:00 |
Factory Orders |
Aug |
|
-9.5% |
-9.3% |
10.5% |
|
|
Oct 02 |
10:30 |
Natural Gas Inventories |
09/27 |
|
NA |
NA |
97 bcf |
|
|
Oct 03 |
08:30 |
Nonfarm Payrolls |
Sep |
|
245K |
210K |
142K |
|
|
Oct 03 |
08:30 |
Nonfarm Private Payrolls |
Sep |
|
230K |
205K |
134K |
|
|
Oct 03 |
08:30 |
Unemployment Rate |
Sep |
|
6.1% |
6.1% |
6.1% |
|
|
Oct 03 |
08:30 |
Hourly Earnings |
Sep |
|
0.2% |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
|
Oct 03 |
08:30 |
Average Workweek |
Sep |
|
34.5 |
34.5 |
34.5 |
|
|
Oct 03 |
08:30 |
Trade Balance |
Aug |
|
-$43.0B |
-$40.9B |
-$40.5B |
|
|
Oct 03 |
10:00 |
ISM Services |
Sep |
|
59.0 |
58.9 |
59.6 |
|
Numbers below are good up until the close of business today. These are strictly technical in nature, not fundamentally based or biased.
Legend U is Up
D is Down
PRD is Potential Reversal Day S2 is Weekly strong support
S1 is Weekly good support DS is Daily Support
DR is Daily Resistance
R1 is Weekly Good Resistance and is calculated once a week on Sunday night
R2 is Weekly Strong Resistance and is calculated once a week on Sunday night
Levels are for the most active futures contract
Support and Resistance Grid
|
|
Trend |
WS2 |
WS1 |
DS |
DR |
WR1 |
WR2 |
|
Dec ES |
D |
1951 |
1952 |
1922.50 |
1950 |
1999 |
2024 |
|
Dec Nasdaq |
D |
3950 |
3997 |
3938 |
4006 |
4091 |
4138 |
|
Dec Yen |
PRD(U) |
90.61 |
91.08 |
91.25 |
92.72 |
92.23 |
92.91 |
|
Dec EC |
D |
125.34 |
126.11 |
125.83 |
127.13 |
128.36 |
129.84 |
|
Dec 10 Year Note |
U |
123.19 |
124.01 |
124.31 |
125.28 |
124.30 |
125.12 |
|
Dec 30 Year Bond |
U |
135.30 |
136.26 |
138.09 |
1340.13 |
138.13 |
139.04 |
|
Nov Soybeans |
PRD(U) |
8.79 |
8.98 |
9.16 |
9.33 |
9.40 |
9.69 |
|
Dec Corn |
PRD(U) |
3.17 |
3.20 |
3.20 |
3.25 |
3.28 |
3.34 |
|
Dec Gold |
PRD(U) |
1191 |
1205 |
1208 |
1223 |
1235 |
1251 |
|
Dec Silver |
U |
16.91 |
17.29 |
16.86 |
17.29 |
18.00 |
18.35 |
|
Dec Coppe r |
D |
298 |
301 |
297.50 |
3030 |
307 |
311.50 |
|
Nov Crude |
D |
89.10 |
91.20 |
89.80 |
92.30 |
94.60 |
95.90 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|