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FED is moving towards normalization of rates.

11.20.2014

Top Day Market News

The release of the Beige Book yesterday was as confusing as ever. Yes, the FED is moving towards normalization of rates but the exact time table is not in place. There is now a debate about keeping the pledge to keep interest rates low for a significant amount of time with 47% of the voting members willing to drop that language.

Today we get a slug of economic information including jobless claims, CPI, existing home sales, Philly Fed and Leading economic indicators. In the overnight, the dollar is stronger, stocks heavy and bonds the recipient of the stronger dollar.

Week of November 17 - November 21

Date

ET

Release

For

Actual

Briefing.com Forecast

Briefing.com Consensus

Prior

Revised From

Nov 17

08:30

Empire Manufacturing

Nov

 

12.0

12.0

6.2

 

Nov 17

09:15

Industrial Production

Oct

 

0.0%

0.2%

1.0%

 

Nov 17

09:15

Capacity Utilization

Oct

 

79.2%

79.3%

79.3%

 

Nov 18

08:30

PPI

Oct

 

-0.2%

-0.2%

-0.1%

 

Nov 18

08:30

Core PPI

Oct

 

0.1%

0.1%

0.0%

 

Nov 18

10:00

NAHB Housing Market Index

Nov

 

54

55

54

 

Nov 18

16:00

Net Long-Term TIC Flows

Sep

 

NA

NA

$52.1B

 

Nov 19

07:00

MBA Mortgage Index

11/15

 

NA

NA

-0.9%

 

Nov 19

08:30

Housing Starts

Oct

 

1000K

1025K

1017K

 

Nov 19

08:30

Building Permits

Oct

 

1050K

1040K

1031K

1018K

Nov 19

10:30

Crude Inventories

11/15

 

NA

NA

- 1.735M

 

Nov 19

14:00

FOMC Minutes

10/29

 

 

 

 

 

 

Date

ET

Release

For

Actual

Briefing.com Forecast

Briefing.com Consensus

Prior

Revised From

Nov 20

08:30

Initial Claims

11/15

 

285K

285K

290K

 

Nov 20

08:30

Continuing Claims

11/08

 

2375K

2375K

2392K

 

Nov 20

08:30

CPI

Oct

 

-0.2%

-0.1%

0.1%

 

Nov 20

08:30

Core CPI

Oct

 

0.1%

0.1%

0.1%

 

Nov 20

10:00

Existing Home Sales

Oct

 

5.10M

5.17M

5.17M

 

Nov 20

10:00

Philadelphia Fed

Nov

 

15.0

18.0

20.7

 

Nov 20

10:00

Leading Indicators

Oct

 

0.6%

0.6%

0.8%

 

Nov 20

10:30

Natural Gas Inventories

11/15

 

NA

NA

NA

 


MARKET PLACE


Numbers below are good up until the close of business today. These are strictly technical in nature, not fundamentally based or biased.

Legend U is Up

D is Down

PRD is Potential Reversal Day S2 is Weekly strong support

S1 is Weekly good support

DS is Daily Support DR is Daily Resistance

R1 is Weekly Good Resistance and is calculated once a week on Sunday night

R2 is Weekly Strong Resistance and is calculated once a week on Sunday night

Levels are for the most active futures contract

Support and Resistance Grid

 

Trend

WS2

WS1

DS

DR

WR1

WR2

Dec ES

U

2011

2028

2032

2052

2048

2057

Dec Nasdaq

U

4115

4170

4186

4242

4252

4281

Dec Yen

D

84.27

85.15

84.15

85.41

87.38

88.72

Dec EC

PRD(U)

123.38

124.32

124.64

125.96

128.85

126.44

Dec 10 Year Note

U

125319

126.13

126.06

126.28

127.03

127.16

Dec 30 Year Bond

U

139.24

140.22

140.28

142.06

142.12

143.06

Jan Soybeans

PRD(D)

9.83

10.06

9.97

10.18

10.71

11.13

March Corn

D

3.675

3.806

3.69

3.81

4.04

4.14

Feb Gold

D

1128

1157

1178

1206

1205

1222

Mar Silver

PRD(U)

14.84

15.57

15.99

16.64

16.70

17.10

Mar Copper

U

295.50

300

296.50

305.00

307.00

309.00

Jan Crude

D

69.74

72.85

73.70

75.20

79.43

82.90