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To cliff or not to cliff

Market News

12.20.12

Top Day Market News

Initial claims come in at 344K against 361K expected. Q3 GDP comes in at a better than expected 3.1%. The 3 handle took many by surprise. Continuing claims at 3.125. Consumption at 1.6%. This is a mixed bag overall and will be trumped by the latest headline relative to the prospective progress, or lack thereof, of the budget talks in Washington. To cliff or not to cliff, seems to be the question.  Volume should be thin. S+P and Nasdaq could have flipped positive yesterday but failed to hold the higher ground.

 

 

Week of December 17 - December 21

 

Date

 

ET

 

Release

 

For

 

Actual

Briefing.com Forecast

Briefing.com Consensus

 

Prior

Revised From

 

Dec 17

 

08:30

 

Empire Manufacturing

 

Dec

 

 

2.0

 

2.0

 

-5.2

 

 

Dec 17

 

09:00

 

Net Long-Term TIC Flows

 

Oct

 

 

NA

 

NA

 

$3.3B

 

 

Dec 18

 

08:30

 

Current Account Balance

 

Q3

 

 

-$103.0B

 

-$103.6B

-

$117.4B

 

 

Dec 18

 

10:00

 

NAHB Housing Market Index

 

Dec

 

 

47

 

47

 

46

 

 

Dec 19

 

07:00

 

MBA Mortgage Index

 

12/15

 

 

NA

 

NA

 

6.2%

 

 

Dec 19

 

08:30

 

Housing Starts

 

Nov

 

 

850K

 

873K

 

894K

 

 

Dec 19

 

08:30

 

Building Permits

 

Nov

 

 

870K

 

876K

 

866K

 

 

Dec 19

 

10:30

 

Crude Inventories

 

12/15

 

 

NA

 

NA

 

0.843M

 

 

Dec 20

 

08:30

 

Initial Claims

 

12/15

 

 

365K

 

345K

 

343K

 

 

Dec 20

 

08:30

 

Continuing Claims

 

12/08

 

 

3200K

 

3192K

 

3198K

 

 

Dec 20

 

08:30

 

GDP - Third Estimate

Q3

 

2.7%

2.7%

2.7%

 

 

 

   

 

 

           

 

 

 

Date

 

ET

 

Release

 

For

 

Actual

Briefing.com Forecast

Briefing.com Consensus

 

Prior

Revised From

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Dec 20

 

08:30

 

GDP Deflator - Third Estimate

 

Q3

 

 

2.7%

 

2.7%

 

2.7%

 

 

Dec 20

 

10:00

 

Existing Home Sales

 

Nov

 

 

4.90M

 

4.90M

 

4.79M

 

 

Dec 20

 

10:00

 

Philadelphia Fed

 

Dec

 

 

2.0

 

1.0

 

-10.7

 

 

Dec 20

 

10:00

 

Leading Indicators

 

Nov

 

 

-0.3%

 

-0.2%

 

0.2%

 

 

Dec 20

 

10:00

 

FHFA Housing Price Index

 

Oct

 

 

NA

 

NA

 

0.2%

 

 

Dec 20

 

10:30

 

Natural Gas Inventories

 

12/15

 

 

NA

 

NA

 

2

 

 

Dec 21

 

08:30

 

Personal Income

 

Nov

 

 

0.3%

 

0.3%

 

0.0%

 

 

Dec 21

 

08:30

 

Personal Spending

 

Nov

 

 

0.4%

 

0.3%

 

-0.2%

 

 

Dec 21

 

08:30

 

PCE Prices - Core

 

Nov

 

 

0.1%

 

0.1%

 

0.1%

 

 

Dec 21

 

08:30

 

Durable Orders

 

Nov

 

 

-0.2%

 

0.2%

 

0.5%

 

0.0%

 

Dec 21

 

08:30

 

Durable Orders -ex Transportation

 

Nov

 

 

-0.5%

 

-0.4%

 

1.8%

 

1.5%

 

Dec 21

 

09:55

 

Michigan Sentiment - Final

 

Dec

 

 

72.0

 

74.0

 

74.5

 

 News